Hillary Clinton on strategic visit

By K.N. Pandita

Secretary of State’s recent visit to India, conspicuously hyped-ante, was aimed at restraining India in her oil purchases from Iran. This is the forthright attempt of delivering a message with a warning to a country that signed civilian nuclear deal with the United States just three years ago. US need not be reminded of the fierce controversy which that deal had evoked among Indian politicos so much so that the UPA government’s future, at a particular juncture, almost hung by slender thread.

Two years is too little a time to let a country of India’s territorial and demographic dimensions become self-sufficient in her power need. But to bring pressure on her within a short span of time when the UPA government is unfortunately hair and neck submerged in the quagmire of corruption and scandals, is to make an assault on her democratic credentials. One is tempted to know if the US is really seeking democratic dispensation to prevail in countries where it has taken roots albeit after great effort and tolerance.

What is the core of dispute between Iran and the US? It is exclusively related to Iran?  Ever since the US dropped atom bomb on Hiroshima and Nagasaki, and experimented the scale of disaster it caused to those unfortunate regions in World War II, her policy has been to stonewall the production of atomic or nuclear weapon by any of the developing countries. This was to maintain monopoly and supremacy of American might over the globe through the instrument of mass destruction weapon.

If this policy were uniformly adopted and practically implemented, it would have carried weight with world community and more particularly with the developing countries. That did not happen. First the erstwhile Soviet Union and then Peoples Republic of China, one a purely Asian and the other a Eurasian power succeeded in manufacturing the dirty bomb. The US could do nothing to prevent nuclear proliferation just because two major powers were involved and she was not in a position to re-kindle the flames of another global war since she had just wriggled out of one that had cost her and her western allies immensely in terms of men and material. European powers were not in a position to take on either Russia or China essentially owing not only to their war-torn shattered economy but more because of tremendous tenacity of resistance shown by the Soviet system and deep-seated indoctrination of masses of people under Maoist ideology.

Among developing Asiatic countries India was the third to embark on nuclear enterprise. Why did India do it despite the fact that she had many other priority areas thirsting for development and expansion? The China-factor served a catalyst to Indian policy planners. In particular, China’s unexpected attack on our eastern border in 1961 ending up in a debacle for our Army in the Sino-India stand off prompted Indian policy planners to contemplate a deterrent to Chinese dirty bomb. New Delhi had noticed with careful anxiety that Washington had almost soft paddled on China going nuclear just because in her eyes, India was not a friend as long as she maintained bonhomie with Moscow. Had Washington honestly stuck to the ideology of universal application of non-proliferation and dissuaded Beijing form embarking on a hazardous adventure, things would have been different, no doubt.

Let us recall how Pakistan regaled on Z.A. Bhutto constructing bridges of understanding between Washington and Beijing as a new chapter in international strategy. At that point of time Soviet Union and India were frontline adversaries to US hegemonic ambitions in Asian Continent. It was to dilute Washington’s hegemonic ambitions that India, in concert with Egypt and Yugoslavia floated the ambiguous and toothless Non-Aligned Movement to be the emerging third option for developing countries of the world.

On her own, India carried forward her nuclear programme without making a fanfare of the enterprise in public. To say that New Delhi neglected her northern border to the disadvantage of the nation is not true at least the whole of it. Aware of the fact that the US would not take it lying low in case she came to know of India’s much advanced progress in manufacturing the bomb, India had to resort to top secretive Pokhran I and Pokhran II missions. But despite that, Washington had been suspecting for long that India had come to the threshold of the bomb, but could not get it either verified or stonewalled.

But the point that we are eager to make here is that the US was in full know of all ins and outs of Pakistan’s preparations for manufacturing the bomb. Here in this context the US made a clear and willful digression of her publicized policy of disallowing proliferation of nuclear weapon. Fully aware that China was supplying some crucial parts of the bomb and that the father of Pakistan’s nuclear bomb Abdul Qadeer had stolen technical secrets from Holland and made use of the same at home with full assistance of Pakistani government and the Army, the US took no step, even the smallest one, to obstruct Pakistan from becoming nuclear. Her thinking was that Pakistan should be at parity with India in this respect. Thus we find that on principle the US does not maintain any standard of generalizing the concept of non-proliferation.

The case of Iran going nuclear is firstly related to Israel being in a position to have the dirty bomb in her possession within minutes if and when required. The second but more important is the threat Iranian nuclear establishment poses to the Saudi Monarchy. Iran is a deadly enemy of Saudi Arabia and has always challenged the role of Saudi monarchy as the sole guardians of the twin holy shrines called harmain sharif. Iran’s revolutionary clergy Ayatollah Khomeini had even issued a decree saying that monarchy was disallowed in Islam. Therefore it has to be known that Iran’s hostility towards Israel is a subjective matter and far less in intensity when compared with hostility towards Saudi Arabia. Iran is hostile towards Israel just because the Arab World from which Iranian nation is ethnically, linguistically and culturally at great divergence is not patently inimical towards Israel. Iran wants to be more loyal than the king.

Yet another reason why Washington did not stonewall Pakistan’s nuclear programme while she is dead set against Iran becoming nuclear is also related to very crucial role that Pakistan is performing in protecting Saudi monarchical regime from downslide and ouster. Pakistani elite commandos are protecting the royal palaces and crucial installations in Riyadh. Riyadh has always delivered Pakistan from intermittent bankruptcy. It is Riyadh which is funding Wahhabi-Salafi extremism in other countries of the world where Sunnis are in predominance. Protection of Saudi monarchy through Pakistan’s muscle is what suits Washington. Even the 4 billion dollar funding for production of nuclear bomb by Pakistan was underwritten by Prince Turki and his establishment in Riyadh with tacit knowledge of CIA.

The primary objective of the US in roping in India into a civilian nuclear deal three years ago was simply to blunt her nuclear teeth emphasizing on her that dependence on oil being a risky and uncertain matter, she should shift to nuclear reactors for generating power. But as India is going slow on the subject, Washington has lost its patience and has decided to bring pressure on India to stop oil imports from Iran. Hillary Clinton might have proposed increased oil exports from Saudi Arabia to India on same conditions. But the Indo-Iranian relations are on a different footing that encompasses many more things than just the oil.  India is also a victim of Wahhabi-Salafi extremist activists whether they operate from Pakistan or any other Muslim country. Many separatist organizations in India, including Kashmir, receive substantial financial support from ar-Rabita in Saudi Arabia.

Hillary’s visit to Kolkata is to pat Mamta for ousting the leftist from their 34-year long stint. She told press reporters that she confined herself only to the subject of investment in developmental projects but international relations have hardly defined borders. New Delhi has green signaled this visit but it must also take into account the repercussions in Beijing and even in Kolkata itself. The Communisms in Bengal are out but Maoists are active in eastern region of the country. Mamta has landed on a path strewn with thorns. But she is a daughter of the soil what she calls Ma, Mati and Manush.

World’s tallest railway bridge

By K.N. Pandita

Jammu and Kashmir State will have the honour of being home to the world’s tallest railway bridge across river Chenab with the highest point of 360 meter as against the 343 meter highest point of world’s existing highest road bridge (Millau Bridge). The total length of the bridge will be 1315 meter and height from river bed to top of bridge 360 meter. The main arch span (steel structure) will be 480 meter. It will be one of the wonders of highly advanced technology of bridge building carried out with indigenous expertise and workmanship. The bridge will link Udhampur/Katra railway line with Baramulla in the valley. With its completion, approximately four years from now, the Valley of Kashmir will begin to write a totally new and unprecedented history.     Continue Reading…

Politics of glacial graveyard

By K.N. Pandita,

Tragic death of 140 Pakistani soldiers who got eternally buried in the avalanche graveyard at Siachin reflects the horror of mounting military guard on the world’s highest battle field of nearly 5400 meters above sea level.

There is hardly a day when a couple of Indian or Pakistan soldiers guarding the treacherous heights of Siachin do not get killed not by enemy fire but by the murderous blizzards over the Himalayan scalp with mind-boggling speed of over 300 kms per hour. Pakistan COAS Kayani visited the site of the graveyard, found in person absolute helplessness of mortals in retrieving the dead bodies despite offer of all possible rescue operation by the Indian counterpart. He has suggested demilitarization and withdrawal of troops by both countries.    Continue Reading…

Mission little publicized and less open

By K.N. Pandita

Sunday last visit of President Zardari to India was more or less underplayed by Indian media. More inquisitive sections centred on the point that it was a private visit – a pilgrimage to the holy shrine in Ajmer – and not a formal visit of the head of state.

When VVIPs visit a neighbouring country, particularly the one with which relations have remained strained since long, there is only a thin dividing line between private and official visit.  Continue Reading…

Step-by-step approach

By K.N. Pandita

There is always very little to demarcate private visit of the President of a foreign country from his formal visit. More so is the case with the visit of the Head of a country in our neighbour with which we have a long record of strained relations. We have a number of outstanding issues with Pakistan, complex, sensitive and almost baffling. These are as old as our independence. Kashmir is not the only issue between us although for long Pakistan has been making resolution of all other issues conditional to finding a solution to Kashmir problem. That is not going to happen, and Pakistan seems to have understood, albeit belatedly, that the policy of hinging all Indo-Pak disputes to Kashmir issue is unrealistic.    Continue Reading…

Belated action ‘Faigate’

By K.N. Pandita

State government will set up a Special Investigation Team (SIT) to go into the ‘Faigate’. It is a belated action. Aren’t they opening the can of worms? Police says it has a heap of information on the activities of Fai in late 1970s and 80s. What for does the police collect and keep the well-researched information in the cold store? The SIT will tumble upon a number of questions which the government will have to answer. Don’t think the task of conducting an enquiry into Faigate is that simple. And what will be the consequences? We have scams, bribery cases, evidence for them all, even confessions and then at the end of the day what happens? Is anybody held accountable? They cannot, because it is “Indian democracy” where press and media are free to put the county on sell out in the name of freedom of expression.   Continue Reading…

Out from ‘out of bound area’

By K.N. Pandta

Indian Army remained faithfully glued to ‘out of bound” regulatory imposed on it by the civilian government of the Republic of India. It meant an arbitrary attempt of isolating Indian armed forces from social and psychological proximity to a defiant nation that was down but not out. This doctrine originated in the administrative manual of the British Indian rulers in post-1857-Mutiny era. Successors to colonial rule ensured that the regulatory did not lose its teeth after the transfer of power. They would not trust top brass of Indian armed forces believing that abandonment of Sandhurst culture was loathsome to it. Contemporary historians will do well to recall the outrageous purge in the Indian Army in early 1950s.   Continue Reading…

The mess of arms procurement

By K.N. Pandita

The big mess following army chief’s recent pronouncements is essentially the mess about procurement of arms by the defence ministry. This is an issue that surfaced with the purchase of Bofors guns from Sweden during the times of Rajiv Gandhi India is a big buyer of arms. The arms procurement budget runs into billions of dollars. In these big deals, foreign suppliers do not hesitate to press the middlemen into service as it facilitates making of the deals. Obviously, stakeholders in these enormous transactions eye enormous amounts by way of commission which the middlemen usually get out of these deals. A large number of stakeholders beginning with the highest echelons down the line to smaller functionaries are partners of involved agencies in the deals, shady or transparent whatever.    Continue Reading…

Asian gas pipeline diplomacy

By K.N. Pandita

Iran’s defiance of nuclear non-proliferation as desired by the US and her European allies has exacerbated uncertainty and tension in the region. Hawks in Washington talked of war. But the Pentagon wouldn’t want a third front to be opened in West Asia. Instead, it went with the policy planners to take out Iran financially.

Iranian oil exports to the European countries are already under embargo. Of course, it will have its disturbing impact. Apart from that, the US is determined to screw up the mega IP gas pipeline and subject Iranian economy to stress.   Continue Reading…

Assessing implications of UP election

By K.N. Pandita

UP poll results that returned Samajwadi Party with thumping victory carry more significance than what meets the eye. This state has always been crucial to the political history of independent India essentially because of its population. Despite slicing a chunk of its territory and creating the new State of Uttarakhand, the importance of UP continues. It sends maximum number of elected members to the Parliament which decides the fate of political parities contesting power at the centre.

That the recent elections would bring about a big change in power structure in UP was a foregone conclusion. Downslide of Mayawati’s BSP was rather probable owing to growing lawlessness during her period and the urge of the leader for personality cult.   Continue Reading…

Who is Pakistan’s enemy?

By K.N. Pandita

Former ISI Chief Asad Durrani has made it clear who is Pakistan’s enemy. An agency that subverts democratic process in Pakistan by brandishing money power is the real culprit. This is what an ordinary Pakistani and the sympathizers of Pakistan should know. Four hundred million rupees out of a total fund of 1.5 billion rupees were distributed by ISI sleuths among the politicians, political parties and the media persons to sabotage democracy in 1990-91 parliamentary elections.. The IJI was created on the behest of the Army Chief Aslam Baig and the then President Ghulam Ishaq Khan. Among the recipients were Mian Nawaz Shariaf, his brother Shahbaz Sharief and others who became components of IJI. This was done to keep away PPP from coming to power. Army-PPP acrimony is an old story.    Continue Reading…

Interpol to track down the General

By K.N. Pandita,

Something very unusual for the Government in Islamabad and the top brass at the GHQ has happened in recent days. The government has dispatched a red-corner letter to the Interpol to track down General Pervez Musharraf —- the former Army Chief and President of Pakistan — and hand him over to home authorities.  After he was forced to demit office, the General had left his country to take up residence in UK. He knew the dangers of living in Pakistan when shorn of power. Involved in court cases, he was summoned by the Supreme Court of Pakistan for questioning but he has been circumventing court notices since some time. Privately, he often boasts that he is brave enough to return and face the charges.     Continue Reading…

Signals of shift: real of fake?

By K.N. Pandita

Indo-Pak watchers speak of a shift of sorts in their current relations. Nobody is certain about the reason or the purpose of the shift if any. Nevertheless, the proposition merits analysis.

In some sections of press reports have appeared of India and Pakistan almost converging on an agreement of enforcing  a ten-year moratorium on Kashmir issue to allow sentiments return to equilibrium and the dust and din settle down after which a new effort in changed circumstances would be made to forge a final settlement of the issue. In other words put.

If that is a proposal on which some sort of agreement could take place, then the possibility of Kashmir issue still remaining there with its present dimensions is unrealistic. We are living in a century of fast changes, like it or not.  Continue Reading…

India and Mongolia: Strategic Partnership

By K.N. Pandita

Strategic partnership is generally interpreted in parameters of defence collaboration and joint military action against a common adversary if and when warranted by circumstances. The question is should Indo-Mongolian strategic partnership be looked at strictly from the perspective of this interpretation?

The two countries have taken some preliminary steps in the direction of defence cooperation, first step taken in January 2001. The process graduated and ramified into Joint Working Group on Defence Cooperation, exchange visits of top military brass from either side with Indian Chief of Army Staff General V.K. Singh making two trips to Ulaanbaatar. Joint military exercises, though at virtual symbolic nature, have also been held on Indian as well as Mongolian soil; India’s participation in Khaan Quest 2006 included.   Continue Reading…

Rot gone deep in the UPA

By K.N. Pandita

Two judgments of the Supreme Court coming in quick succession last week have put UPA government to embarrassment. Add to it the row over Salman Rushdie’s aborted participation in literary meet in Jaipur that exposed Congress’ feigned secularist stunt in the background of elections to the state legislature in UP.

In the 2G Spectrum scam, the UPA government tried to shield former Telecom Minister A Raja. For nearly a year and half, the PMO delayed permission to the prosecution of the dismissed minister in the hope that the culprit would manage to wriggle out somehow.   Continue Reading…

Attack on the last bastion of hope

By K N.. Pandita

Intriguingly, the Supreme Court does not focus on the urgency of responding to the petition of the Army Chief.  In doing so it gives time and space to the sections of voluble media that has wantonly blurred on the issue with less of sense but more of nonsense. The Supreme Court has dismissed the PIL of Grenadiers Union but we may ask why Justice Thakur of the Supreme Court recused when the case was referred to him first? Continue Reading…

Sino-Indian border dialogue

By K.N. Pandita

The long border between India and China has remained un-demarcated in the sense in which international borders between two neioghbouring countries are usually drawn. The McMahan line drawn by the British during the days of their colonial empire was not accepted by the Chinese in very clear terms. Soon after the independence of India, China raked up the border issue. Nehru had hoped that cooperation between the two rising powers of Asia would usher in a golden period of world history and lay the foundation of mutual understanding and cooperation between the two Asian giants for other countries and powers to emulate.   Continue Reading…

Pak’s beleaguered democracy

By K.N. Pandita

In a tripartite pull for power and authority, democratically elected government in Pakistan is under pressure from the judiciary and the army, the latter having the final word with it. Thrice in the past has Pakistan army staged coup and removed civilian elected governments. Apprehensions are that conditions are shaping for another coup though Pak Army chief has expressed adherence to democratic arrangement in the country. He has not tagged any conditions to such a commitment though in the past military rulers in that country usually discredited politicians and the brand of democracy they floated in Pakistan essentially to legitimize their taking over.   Continue Reading…

Sectarian killings in Pak

K.N. Pandita

Planted explosive attack on the chehlum Shia procession in Khanpur, Pakistan killing more than twenty and wounding as many people is not the first of its kind. Lashkar-e-Jhangvi has publicly announced its agenda of suppressing Pakistani Shia Muslims by sheer muscle power. The minority community is under constant threat of decimation at the hands of the majority Sunni sect. This proves that the two-nation theory on the basis of which Pakistan was crated holds good in respect of Pakistani sects as well. Continue Reading…

Is Pakistan losing its grip?

By K.N. Pandita

Apprehension of losing grip on political power of the country is the bane of Pakistan Military. But the option of usurping power by ousting a civilian government is becoming more and more untenable. The reason is the fast changing dynamics of Pakistan’s internal and external politics. Pakistan Army carries the cumbersome and humiliating baggage of defeat in Bangladesh war. Its redemption is rendered not only impossible but even counter-productive. Continue Reading…